drwex (drwex) wrote,

Talking points and actual points (politics)

New York's primary didn't change much, if anything. Let's review the talking points and actual points (like delegate and vote counts).

Sanders - "I still have a path to the presidency." No, I'm sorry, you don't. You brought your A game and Clinton beat you by 16 percentage points. The next couple of big contests (PA and later CA) aren't going to be any kinder to you. Without a big win in a big contest Sanders has no hope of closing the gap.

Clinton - "Our similarities are greater than our differences." That only works because the other guys have gone so far out into left field that they're catching the bus that pulls up behind the bleacher seats. Also, we completely know you're going to zig right as soon as you get that nomination handshake. I'm having a hard time figuring out who Clinton picks as a running mate now. Just like there were few obvious choices to run against her in the primary I don't see a lot of obvious choices to run with her in the general election.

Trump - "The nomination is sewn up." No, sorry. You won by a big margin and congrats on that but even this big of a win (and shutting out Cruz entirely was important) does not give you the math you need. Also, your lead on Cruz in CA is under 10 points now so you don't dare turn your back on him.

Crux - "I'm going to win it on the second ballot." Eh, mebbee. You also might die in the ensuing riot. I still think the Republican strategists are going to turtle this one. They'll let Trump have it, try to minimize losses down-ticket and in purple states and keep their eyes firmly fixed on 2020.

Kasich - "I'm still the only candidate who can beat Clinton." Yeah, but nobody's going to be backing you. Nice work cutting Cruz out, by the way. If the kinder gentler Trump continues to appear in public I can see these guys kissing and making up so Kasich gets the VP spot on the ticket. Talk about having your eyes on 2020 - or maybe he has a line on an iocane powder dealer.

All of these things were true before New York voted and they're still true after. Probably the most interesting story to me was how a very multiracial state managed to disenfranchise so many of its own citizens. Normally this is a "voting while black" kind of problem that doesn't get a lot of airplay.
Tags: politics
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